TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
6-5 | Road
49
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
9-3 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
JAYHAWKS
0%
TIGERS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
173.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Kansas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around KU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)
TOW By 1-7 points
1.4%
TOW By 8-14 points
0.2%
KU By 1-7 points
6.8%
KU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Towson
76
TOWSON
Kansas
97
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Towson
62
TOWSON
Kansas
88
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jayhawks (-15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 173.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 16, 2025
TOW @ KU
49 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+92.9% more
Kansas: 5.2
vs
Towson: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+49.1% more
Kansas: 14.8
vs
Towson: 9.9
Rebounding (L5)
+20.5% more
Kansas: 41.2
vs
Towson: 34.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.2%
Kansas: 70.6%
vs
Towson: 59.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOW Score
76.0
49
KU Score
97.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 32.1
33.0 / 13.0
Assists
14.8 / 9.9
15.0 / 4.0
Blocks
5.2 / 2.7
9.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 46.2
47.0 / 28.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 59.5
64.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
41.2 / 34.2
43.0 / 45.0
Steals
4.1 / 5.0
6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.8
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
TOW
KU
TOW
ML
57%
20-15
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
ATS
49%
17-18
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
62%
20-12
TTL
60%
21-14
53%
17-15
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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