Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Rams CAN @ URI

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

5-6  |  Road

45
FINAL
Tue, Dec 16 • 7:00 PM ET
Thomas M. Ryan Center
View Odds Details →

RHODE ISLAND

RAMSURI

7-4  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
131.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Rhode Island)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 RamsURI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

4.5%

Rams Cover

95.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)

CAN By 1-7 points

3.3%

CAN By 8-14 points

0.6%

URI By 1-7 points

12.2%

URI By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
CANISIUS
74
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
68
CANISIUS
72
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 131.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 16, 2025 CAN @ URI 45 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +63.2% more
Rhode Island: 4.0 vs Canisius: 2.5
Steals (L5) +56.6% more
Rhode Island: 7.6 vs Canisius: 4.9
Turnovers (L5) +18.1% more
Rhode Island: 15.7 vs Canisius: 13.3
Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
Rhode Island: 46.3% vs Canisius: 38.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 57.0 45
URI Score 74.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 32.7 26.0 / 33.0
Assists 11.1 / 12.0 10.0 / 10.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.5 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 38.8 34.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 70.4 / 69.1 85.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 37.9 43.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.6 / 4.9 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 13.3 13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
31%MONEY69%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
URI Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN Advantage
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
URI
13-18-1 (41.9%)
Margin: 1.7 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4% Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
CAN
URI
CAN
ML
62% 20-12
55% 17-14
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
ATS
56% 18-14
65% 20-11
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
TTL
56% 18-14
58% 18-13
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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