CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
4-6 | Road
67
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
4-6 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
49ERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
49ERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
CLT By 1-7 points
0.8%
CLT By 8-14 points
0.1%
COFC By 1-7 points
4.8%
COFC By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
59
CHARLOTTE
Charleston
82
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Charlotte
73
CHARLOTTE
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 14, 2025
CLT @ COFC
67 - 74
Dec 25, 2024
COFC @ CLT
84 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.1% more
Charleston: 5.5
vs
Charlotte: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+60.3% more
Charleston: 5.7
vs
Charlotte: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+17.7% more
Charleston: 39.0
vs
Charlotte: 33.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.5%
Charleston: 75.2%
vs
Charlotte: 62.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLT Score
59.0
67
COFC Score
82.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 30.6
30.0 / 24.0
Assists
10.1 / 10.7
14.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.5 / 3.4
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
38.3 / 42.9
50.0 / 41.0
Free Throw %
75.2 / 62.7
63.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
39.0 / 33.1
32.0 / 32.0
Steals
5.7 / 3.5
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 14.3
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
COFC
Advantage
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
CLT
COFC
CLT
ML
66%
19-10
62%
21-13
62%
18-11
67%
22-11
ATS
59%
17-12
68%
23-11
62%
18-11
67%
22-11
TTL
68%
19-9-1
65%
22-12
100%
29-0
100%
33-0
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