AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
COUGARS
0%
PRIVATEERS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
UNO By 1-7 points
10.7%
UNO By 8-14 points
3.3%
HOU By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
59
NEW ORLEANS
Houston
69
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
New Orleans
62
NEW ORLEANS
Houston
78
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
UNO @ HOU
57 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.5% more
Houston: 9.8
vs
New Orleans: 6.8
Rebounding (L5)
+19.7% more
Houston: 39.8
vs
New Orleans: 33.3
Assists (L5)
+14.1% more
Houston: 18.4
vs
New Orleans: 16.1
Turnovers (L5)
+30.6% more
New Orleans: 14.7
vs
Houston: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UNO Score
59.0
57
HOU Score
69.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.7 / 37.3
48.0 / 29.0
Assists
18.4 / 16.1
23.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 47.3
54.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
69.7 / 73.4
77.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 33.3
33.0 / 31.0
Steals
9.8 / 6.8
11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 14.7
6.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +3.4
HOU
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
UNO
HOU
UNO
ML
70%
26-11
52%
16-15
68%
23-11
57%
17-13
ATS
70%
26-11
52%
16-15
68%
23-11
57%
17-13
TTL
59%
22-15
58%
18-13
100%
34-0
100%
30-0