NEW ORLEANS

PRIVATEERSUNO

3-7  |  Road

57
FINAL
Sat, Dec 13 • 3:00 PM ET
Fertitta Center
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

9-1  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
PRIVATEERS
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
PRIVATEERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Houston)
PrivateersUNO (-3.5) 0 CougarsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Privateers Cover

15.9%

Cougars Cover

84.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

UNO By 1-7 points

10.7%

UNO By 8-14 points

3.3%

HOU By 1-7 points

23.0%

HOU By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
59
NEW ORLEANS
69
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
62
NEW ORLEANS
78
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Loss
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 UNO @ HOU 57 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +44.5% more
Houston: 9.8 vs New Orleans: 6.8
Rebounding (L5) +19.7% more
Houston: 39.8 vs New Orleans: 33.3
Assists (L5) +14.1% more
Houston: 18.4 vs New Orleans: 16.1
Turnovers (L5) +30.6% more
New Orleans: 14.7 vs Houston: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNO Score 59.0 57
HOU Score 69.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 37.3 48.0 / 29.0
Assists 18.4 / 16.1 23.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.6 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 47.3 54.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 69.7 / 73.4 77.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 39.8 / 33.3 33.0 / 31.0
Steals 9.8 / 6.8 11.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.2 / 14.7 6.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNO
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNO Advantage
19-14-0 (57.6%)
Margin: -3.2 ATS +/-: +3.4
HOU
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
UNO
19-14-0
O: 57.6% / U: 42.4% Total +/-: +2.0
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9