JACKSONVILLE STATE
GAMECOCKSJXST
4-5 | Road
73
GEORGIA STATE
PANTHERSGAST
2-9 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
GAMECOCKS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
GAMECOCKS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Jacksonville State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JXST -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JXST)
JXST By 1-7 points
26.8%
JXST By 8-14 points
24.3%
GAST By 1-7 points
16.9%
GAST By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Jacksonville State
82
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Georgia State
76
GEORGIA STATE
Simulated Score
Jacksonville State
68
JACKSONVILLE STATE
Georgia State
72
GEORGIA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Gamecocks (+3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Win
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
JXST @ GAST
73 - 77
Nov 13, 2024
GAST @ JXST
67 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+40.9% more
Jacksonville State: 13.6
vs
Georgia State: 8.0
Blocks (L5)
+28.1% more
Jacksonville State: 3.1
vs
Georgia State: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+17.1% more
Jacksonville State: 43.2
vs
Georgia State: 35.8
Turnovers (L5)
+13.3% more
Jacksonville State: 14.7
vs
Georgia State: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JXST Score
82.0
73
GAST Score
76.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.0 / 32.6
33.0 / 32.0
Assists
8.0 / 13.6
11.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.1
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
32.8 / 41.4
40.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
74.5 / 54.0
84.0 / 50.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 43.2
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.8 / 6.1
1.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 14.7
7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JXST
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
GAST
10-22-0
(31.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JXST
Advantage
13-15-1
(46.4%)
Margin: 4.3
ATS +/-: -0.1
GAST
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
JXST
17-11-1
O: 60.7% / U: 39.3%
Total +/-: +0.4
GAST
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GAST
JXST
GAST
JXST
ML
56%
18-14
50%
16-16
71%
22-9
55%
17-14
ATS
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
71%
22-9
55%
17-14
TTL
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
