Home / NHL Projections NHL / Sharks @ Flyers SJ @ PHI

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

14-13-3  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

15-9-3  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Alex Nedeljkovic
GOALTENDER

Alex Nedeljkovic

#33 | Goaltender
@
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Alex Nedeljkovic None-None 3.10 0.897 --
Dan Vladar None-None 1.00 0.944 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.10 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.897 Save % Ldr 0.944
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
100%
📊
FLYERS
0%
SHARKS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
SharksSJ (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sharks Cover

30.9%

Flyers Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

SJ By 1 goal

12.1%

SJ By 2-3 goals

9.3%

PHI By 1 goal

19.7%

PHI By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
SAN JOSE
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
SAN JOSE
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flyers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 21, 2026 PHI @ SJ 4 - 1
Dec 9, 2025 SJ @ PHI 1 - 4
Dec 31, 2024 PHI @ SJ 4 - 0
Nov 11, 2024 SJ @ PHI 3 - 4
Mar 12, 2024 SJ @ PHI 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.0% more
Philadelphia: 27.8 vs San Jose: 22.6
Takeaways (L5) +13.2% more
Philadelphia: 5.6 vs San Jose: 4.9
Faceoff % (L5) +2.0%
Philadelphia: 48.6% vs San Jose: 46.6%
Power Play % (L5) +13.2%
San Jose: 27.7% vs Philadelphia: 14.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SJ Score 3.0 1
PHI Score 4.0 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 17.1 / 15.9 11.0 / 20.0
Faceoff % 48.6 / 46.6 66.7 / 33.3
Hits 21.1 / 21.3 17.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 1452.0 / 2770.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.8 / 22.6 30.0 / 18.0
Takeaways 5.6 / 4.9 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
47%MONEY53%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SJ
PHI
SJ
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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