Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Cougars CLEM @ BYU

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

7-2  |  Road

64
FINAL
Tue, Dec 9 • 6:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

BYU

COUGARSBYU

7-1  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
COUGARS
100%
TIGERS --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Clemson)
TigersCLEM (-3.5) 0 CougarsBYU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

99.7%

Cougars Cover

0.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLEM -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

CLEM By 1-7 points

1.7%

CLEM By 8-14 points

6.8%

BYU By 1-7 points

0.2%

BYU By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
88
CLEMSON
60
BYU
Simulated Score
74
CLEMSON
78
BYU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 9, 2025 CLEM @ BYU 64 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +8.4% more
Clemson: 42.5 vs BYU: 38.9
Blocks (L5) +97.9% more
BYU: 4.7 vs Clemson: 2.4
Steals (L5) +64.1% more
BYU: 9.6 vs Clemson: 5.9
Assists (L5) +13.8% more
BYU: 16.2 vs Clemson: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score 88.0 64
BYU Score 60.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.0 / 30.8 22.0 / 31.0
Assists 16.2 / 14.2 12.0 / 15.0
Blocks 4.7 / 2.4 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 46.0 40.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 76.9 86.0 / 87.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 42.5 36.0 / 38.0
Steals 9.6 / 5.9 8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.0 / 9.7 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
BYU
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM Advantage
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
BYU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 8.1 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BYU
CLEM
BYU
CLEM
ML
60% 21-14
63% 22-13
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
ATS
54% 19-16
71% 25-10
72% 23-9
72% 23-9
TTL
69% 24-11
69% 24-11
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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