Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ 76ers LAL @ PHI

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

16-6  |  Road

112
FINAL
Sun, Dec 7 • 7:30 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

13-9  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
LAKERS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
268.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Los Angeles)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

97.7%

76ers Cover

2.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAL By 1-7 points

8.0%

LAL By 8-14 points

18.6%

PHI By 1-7 points

1.7%

PHI By 8-14 points

0.3%

AI Model Projected Score
144
LOS ANGELES
124
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
108
LOS ANGELES
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o233.5 Loss
Proj Total: 268.0
D
Sim u233.5 Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 5, 2026 PHI @ LAL 115 - 119
Dec 7, 2025 LAL @ PHI 112 - 108
Jan 28, 2025 LAL @ PHI 104 - 118
Nov 8, 2024 PHI @ LAL 106 - 116
Mar 22, 2024 PHI @ LAL 94 - 101
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Los Angeles: 40.2% vs Philadelphia: 34.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
Los Angeles: 48.5% vs Philadelphia: 45.4%
Steals (L5) +72.0% more
Philadelphia: 10.7 vs Los Angeles: 6.2
Rebounding (L5) +18.0% more
Philadelphia: 45.0 vs Los Angeles: 38.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 144.0 112
PHI Score 124.0 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 40.2 36.0 / 36.0
Assists 25.0 / 21.3 21.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.9 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 48.5 35.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 85.0 / 85.0 88.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 38.1 54.0 / 52.0
Steals 10.7 / 6.2 5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 15.7 / 14.1 6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LAL
PHI
LAL
ML
63% 69-40
61% 68-43
48% 45-48
54% 49-42
ATS
65% 71-38
61% 67-43-1
48% 45-48
54% 49-42
TTL
55% 60-49
61% 66-43-2
100% 93-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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