CANISIUS
GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN
4-5 | Road
52
SIENA
SAINTSSIE
8-2 | Home
74
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
SAINTS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
SAINTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SIENA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Siena)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SIE -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIE)
CAN By 1-7 points
2.2%
CAN By 8-14 points
0.4%
SIE By 1-7 points
9.3%
SIE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Canisius
61
CANISIUS
Siena
80
SIENA
Simulated Score
Canisius
68
CANISIUS
Siena
72
SIENA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Saints
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Saints
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Saints (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Saints (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
SIE @ CAN
78 - 63
Dec 7, 2025
CAN @ SIE
52 - 74
Feb 23, 2025
CAN @ SIE
93 - 88
Dec 8, 2024
SIE @ CAN
66 - 53
Feb 18, 2024
CAN @ SIE
73 - 64
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+150.0% more
Siena: 4.5
vs
Canisius: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+98.7% more
Siena: 6.3
vs
Canisius: 3.2
Assists (L5)
+23.0% more
Siena: 12.4
vs
Canisius: 10.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Siena: 48.8%
vs
Canisius: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAN Score
61.0
52
SIE Score
80.0
74
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 29.9
33.0 / 20.0
Assists
12.4 / 10.1
20.0 / 7.0
Blocks
4.5 / 1.8
7.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 38.1
44.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
69.2 / 69.7
61.0 / 74.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 34.3
38.0 / 39.0
Steals
6.3 / 3.2
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 12.4
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
SIE
Advantage
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
SIE
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
SIE
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SIE
CAN
SIE
CAN
ML
66%
23-12
55%
17-14
48%
16-17
68%
21-10
ATS
66%
23-12
65%
20-11
48%
16-17
68%
21-10
TTL
54%
19-16
58%
18-13
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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