MISSOURI
TIGERSMIZ
8-1 | Road
60
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
6-3 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
JAYHAWKS
100%
TIGERS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MISSOURI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Missouri)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIZ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIZ)
MIZ By 1-7 points
26.2%
MIZ By 8-14 points
16.9%
KU By 1-7 points
24.3%
KU By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Missouri
60
MISSOURI
Kansas
59
KANSAS
Simulated Score
Missouri
71
MISSOURI
Kansas
78
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 7, 2025
MIZ @ KU
60 - 80
Dec 8, 2024
KU @ MIZ
67 - 76
Dec 9, 2023
MIZ @ KU
64 - 73
Dec 10, 2022
KU @ MIZ
95 - 67
Dec 11, 2021
MIZ @ KU
65 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+60.7% more
Missouri: 9.3
vs
Kansas: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+21.0% more
Missouri: 15.2
vs
Kansas: 12.0
Turnovers (L5)
+17.8% more
Missouri: 13.1
vs
Kansas: 10.8
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.6%
Missouri: 50.0%
vs
Kansas: 41.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIZ Score
60.0
60
KU Score
59.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 33.9
43.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.0 / 15.2
17.0 / 12.0
Blocks
5.9 / 2.9
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
41.4 / 50.0
46.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
77.4 / 74.3
73.0 / 52.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 39.2
41.0 / 35.0
Steals
3.7 / 9.3
5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 13.1
9.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIZ
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIZ
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: 3.8
ATS +/-: -2.3
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIZ
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.3
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
MIZ
KU
MIZ
ML
57%
20-15
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
ATS
49%
17-18
70%
23-10
68%
21-10
69%
22-10
TTL
60%
21-14
79%
26-7
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
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