GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
11-12 | Road
99
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
14-10 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
WARRIORS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
251.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
GS By 1-7 points
24.3%
GS By 8-14 points
13.7%
CLE By 1-7 points
26.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
125
GOLDEN STATE
Cleveland
126
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Golden State
109
GOLDEN STATE
Cleveland
115
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cavaliers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers (+9)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Cavaliers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o230.0
Loss
Proj Total: 251.0
D
Sim
u230.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
CLE @ GS
118 - 111
Dec 6, 2025
GS @ CLE
99 - 94
Dec 30, 2024
CLE @ GS
113 - 95
Nov 8, 2024
GS @ CLE
117 - 136
Nov 11, 2023
CLE @ GS
118 - 110
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.8% more
Cleveland: 6.1
vs
Golden State: 3.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.1%
Cleveland: 49.5%
vs
Golden State: 43.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+12.6% more
Golden State: 13.9
vs
Cleveland: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
125.0
99
CLE Score
126.0
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.2 / 33.0
24.0 / 37.0
Assists
27.9 / 28.1
15.0 / 25.0
Blocks
6.1 / 3.6
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 43.4
35.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
78.8 / 78.6
83.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
46.0 / 44.3
61.0 / 46.0
Steals
8.8 / 8.9
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 13.9
12.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
Advantage
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
GS
CLE
GS
ML
60%
69-46
55%
95-79
56%
55-44
58%
49-35
ATS
67%
75-37-3
58%
101-73
56%
55-44
58%
49-35
TTL
59%
68-47
77%
134-40
100%
99-0
100%
84-0
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