Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Blue Hose MORE @ PRES

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

3-7  |  Road

72
FINAL
Sat, Dec 6 • 2:00 PM ET
Templeton Center
View Odds Details →

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

6-6  |  Home

80
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
BLUE HOSE
0%
EAGLES --
BLUE HOSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-30.0
PRESBYTERIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +30.0 points (Presbyterian)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 Blue HosePRES (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

0.1%

Blue Hose Cover

99.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PRES -30.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRES)

MORE By 1-7 points

0.1%

MORE By 8-14 points

0.0%

PRES By 1-7 points

1.1%

PRES By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
59
MOREHEAD STATE
89
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
69
MOREHEAD STATE
72
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Hose Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Hose Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Hose (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Sim Blue Hose (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o133.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 6, 2025 MORE @ PRES 72 - 80
Dec 6, 2021 PRES @ MORE 66 - 71
Nov 14, 2019 MORE @ PRES 77 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +147.7% more
Presbyterian: 4.9 vs Morehead State: 2.0
Assists (L5) +8.8% more
Presbyterian: 12.0 vs Morehead State: 11.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Presbyterian: 34.0% vs Morehead State: 30.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Presbyterian: 45.6% vs Morehead State: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 59.0 72
PRES Score 89.0 80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 30.2 35.0 / 43.0
Assists 12.0 / 11.0 14.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.9 / 2.0 2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 42.2 51.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 63.2 / 64.7 63.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 37.9 / 38.3 44.0 / 22.0
Steals 5.9 / 7.2 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 14.3 17.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
25%MONEY75%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE Advantage
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
PRES
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
PRES
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
MORE
PRES
MORE
ML
69% 22-10
62% 20-12
80% 24-6
68% 21-10
ATS
59% 19-13
59% 19-13
80% 24-6
68% 21-10
TTL
59% 19-13
53% 17-15
100% 30-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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