Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Peacocks CAN @ SPU

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

4-4  |  Road

57
FINAL
Fri, Dec 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Yanitelli Center
View Odds Details →

SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

2-4  |  Home

69
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
PEACOCKS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
PEACOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAINT PETER'S
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Saint Peter's)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 PeacocksSPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

46.0%

Peacocks Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SPU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SPU)

CAN By 1-7 points

24.3%

CAN By 8-14 points

13.7%

SPU By 1-7 points

26.2%

SPU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
70
CANISIUS
71
SAINT PETER'S
Simulated Score
65
CANISIUS
68
SAINT PETER'S
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Peacocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Peacocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Peacocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Peacocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 5, 2025 CAN @ SPU 57 - 69
Mar 8, 2025 CAN @ SPU 62 - 70
Jan 12, 2025 SPU @ CAN 62 - 49
Jan 21, 2024 CAN @ SPU 59 - 70
Dec 3, 2023 SPU @ CAN 54 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +181.2% more
Saint Peter's: 10.6 vs Canisius: 3.8
Blocks (L5) +115.9% more
Saint Peter's: 3.7 vs Canisius: 1.7
Free Throw % (L5) +12.4%
Saint Peter's: 85.0% vs Canisius: 72.6%
Turnovers (L5) +9.5% more
Canisius: 12.1 vs Saint Peter's: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 70.0 57
SPU Score 71.0 69
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 31.9 24.0 / 26.0
Assists 10.8 / 11.6 11.0 / 7.0
Blocks 3.7 / 1.7 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 35.8 / 41.7 38.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 85.0 / 72.6 81.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 32.0 / 31.0 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 10.6 / 3.8 8.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 12.1 10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
SPU Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SPU
CAN
SPU
CAN
ML
64% 18-10
55% 17-14
71% 20-8
68% 21-10
ATS
71% 20-8
65% 20-11
71% 20-8
68% 21-10
TTL
61% 17-11
58% 18-13
100% 28-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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