CORNELL
BIG REDCOR
5-2 | Road
80
TOWSON
TIGERSTOW
5-3 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
0%
TIGERS
100%
BIG RED
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
CORNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Cornell)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around COR -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COR)
COR By 1-7 points
10.7%
COR By 8-14 points
21.6%
TOW By 1-7 points
2.7%
TOW By 8-14 points
0.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cornell
81
CORNELL
Towson
63
TOWSON
Simulated Score
Cornell
68
CORNELL
Towson
73
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Big Red
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Big Red (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 3, 2025
COR @ TOW
80 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+66.9% more
Cornell: 24.4
vs
Towson: 8.1
Turnovers (L5)
+32.5% more
Cornell: 14.6
vs
Towson: 9.8
Steals (L5)
+20.5% more
Cornell: 7.0
vs
Towson: 5.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.4%
Cornell: 45.6%
vs
Towson: 29.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COR Score
81.0
80
TOW Score
63.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 45.6
50.0 / 32.0
Assists
8.1 / 24.4
18.0 / 14.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.1
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 53.1
56.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 76.0
53.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 34.5
38.0 / 25.0
Steals
5.6 / 7.0
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
9.8 / 14.6
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR
15-13-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
TOW
Advantage
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0
(42.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: +0.6
TOW
Advantage
14-17-1
(45.2%)
Margin: 3.1
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2%
Total +/-: +6.5
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6%
Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
COR
TOW
COR
ML
66%
21-11
44%
12-15
62%
20-12
63%
17-10
ATS
66%
21-11
59%
16-11
62%
20-12
63%
17-10
TTL
53%
17-15
78%
21-6
100%
32-0
100%
27-0
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