CAMPBELL
FIGHTING CAMELSCAM
3-5 | Road
76
PENN STATE
NITTANY LIONSPSU
8-1 | Home
87
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
NITTANY LIONS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
NITTANY LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PENN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Penn State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PSU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PSU)
CAM By 1-7 points
24.3%
CAM By 8-14 points
13.7%
PSU By 1-7 points
26.2%
PSU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
74
CAMPBELL
Penn State
75
PENN STATE
Simulated Score
Campbell
65
CAMPBELL
Penn State
80
PENN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nittany Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nittany Lions
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Nittany Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Nittany Lions (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
CAM @ PSU
76 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+46.1% more
Penn State: 15.3
vs
Campbell: 10.5
Steals (L5)
+32.0% more
Penn State: 8.8
vs
Campbell: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+16.7%
Penn State: 39.6%
vs
Campbell: 22.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+11.9%
Penn State: 51.5%
vs
Campbell: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
74.0
76
PSU Score
75.0
87
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.6 / 22.9
38.0 / 35.0
Assists
15.3 / 10.5
15.0 / 13.0
Blocks
1.7 / 2.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 39.6
52.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 68.1
88.0 / 53.0
Rebounding
34.5 / 35.7
30.0 / 39.0
Steals
8.8 / 6.7
13.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.4 / 14.5
7.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
PSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.7
ATS +/-: -3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
PSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.7
ATS +/-: -3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
PSU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PSU
CAM
PSU
CAM
ML
72%
23-9
65%
22-12
56%
18-14
71%
24-10
ATS
72%
23-9
67%
22-11-1
56%
18-14
71%
24-10
TTL
66%
21-11
53%
18-16
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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