AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
BRAVES
0%
COUGARS
--
BRAVES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRAD -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
WSU By 1-7 points
24.3%
WSU By 8-14 points
13.7%
BRAD By 1-7 points
26.2%
BRAD By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington State
59
WASHINGTON STATE
Bradley
60
BRADLEY
Simulated Score
Washington State
68
WASHINGTON STATE
Bradley
72
BRADLEY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Braves
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Braves (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 2, 2025
WSU @ BRAD
60 - 64
Nov 8, 2024
BRAD @ WSU
74 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.8% more
Bradley: 3.6
vs
Washington State: 2.9
Steals (L5)
+22.6% more
Bradley: 8.4
vs
Washington State: 6.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
Bradley: 41.1%
vs
Washington State: 35.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.8%
Bradley: 77.7%
vs
Washington State: 74.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSU Score
59.0
60
BRAD Score
60.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.1 / 35.9
23.0 / 50.0
Assists
13.9 / 13.8
10.0 / 10.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 48.3
35.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 74.8
59.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 31.3
31.0 / 41.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.8
12.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 13.7
7.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
BRAD
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRAD
WSU
BRAD
WSU
ML
65%
22-12
78%
25-7
68%
23-11
69%
20-9
ATS
59%
20-14
78%
25-7
68%
23-11
69%
20-9
TTL
68%
23-11
62%
20-12
100%
34-0
100%
29-0