Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Big Red @ Bison COR @ BUCK

CORNELL

BIG REDCOR

4-2  |  Road

101
FINAL
Sun, Nov 30 • 2:00 PM ET
Sojka Pavilion
View Odds Details →

BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

2-6  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BIG RED
100%
📊
BISON
0%
BIG RED --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BUCKNELL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Bucknell)
Big RedCOR (-3.5) 0 BisonBUCK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Big Red Cover

18.4%

Bison Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BUCK -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BUCK)

COR By 1-7 points

12.2%

COR By 8-14 points

4.0%

BUCK By 1-7 points

24.3%

BUCK By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
64
CORNELL
73
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
72
CORNELL
75
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bison Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bison (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 30, 2025 COR @ BUCK 101 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +46.6% more
Cornell: 24.8 vs Bucknell: 13.3
Rebounding (L5) +23.8% more
Cornell: 42.1 vs Bucknell: 32.1
Blocks (L5) +20.2% more
Cornell: 3.3 vs Bucknell: 2.6
Free Throw % (L5) +10.0%
Cornell: 78.8% vs Bucknell: 68.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COR Score 64.0 101
BUCK Score 73.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 39.6 27.0 / 63.0
Assists 13.3 / 24.8 11.0 / 30.0
Blocks 2.6 / 3.3 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 41.8 / 49.3 38.0 / 67.0
Free Throw % 68.8 / 78.8 73.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 32.1 / 42.1 26.0 / 32.0
Steals 6.9 / 7.5 8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 15.0 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COR Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COR
11-15-0 (42.3%)
Margin: 5.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
BUCK Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COR
14-12-0
O: 53.8% / U: 46.2% Total +/-: +6.5
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
COR
BUCK
COR
ML
55% 18-15
44% 12-15
64% 21-12
63% 17-10
ATS
45% 15-18
59% 16-11
64% 21-12
63% 17-10
TTL
61% 20-13
78% 21-6
100% 33-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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