BELMONT
BRUINSBEL
8-0 | Road
96
CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
4-5 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
COUGARS
0%
BRUINS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
120.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CHARLESTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Charleston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around COFC -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COFC)
BEL By 1-7 points
20.1%
BEL By 8-14 points
9.3%
COFC By 1-7 points
27.4%
COFC By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Belmont
58
BELMONT
Charleston
62
CHARLESTON
Simulated Score
Belmont
72
BELMONT
Charleston
78
CHARLESTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 120.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 30, 2025
BEL @ COFC
96 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Charleston: 72.8%
vs
Belmont: 68.8%
Assists (L5)
+47.0% more
Belmont: 20.4
vs
Charleston: 10.8
Turnovers (L5)
+35.4% more
Belmont: 15.8
vs
Charleston: 10.2
Steals (L5)
+17.2% more
Belmont: 7.5
vs
Charleston: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BEL Score
58.0
96
COFC Score
62.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 41.5
28.0 / 46.0
Assists
10.8 / 20.4
9.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.7
2.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 53.2
31.0 / 57.0
Free Throw %
72.8 / 68.8
73.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
37.7 / 41.4
37.0 / 41.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.5
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 15.8
8.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BEL
Advantage
26-6-0
(81.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
COFC
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BEL
17-13-1
(56.7%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +2.2
COFC
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
BEL
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7%
Total +/-: +4.1
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COFC
BEL
COFC
BEL
ML
66%
19-10
47%
15-17
62%
18-11
62%
20-12
ATS
59%
17-12
56%
18-14
62%
18-11
62%
20-12
TTL
68%
19-9-1
44%
14-18
100%
29-0
100%
32-0
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