Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bobcats @ Knights QUIN @ UCF

QUINNIPIAC

BOBCATSQUIN

4-2  |  Road

91
FINAL
Tue, Nov 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Addition Financial Arena
View Odds Details →

UCF

KNIGHTSUCF

5-1  |  Home

102
AI Model Win Probability
BOBCATS
0%
📊
KNIGHTS
100%
BOBCATS --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
QUINNIPIAC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Quinnipiac)
BobcatsQUIN (-3.5) 0 KnightsUCF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bobcats Cover

81.6%

Knights Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around QUIN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (QUIN)

QUIN By 1-7 points

24.3%

QUIN By 8-14 points

26.8%

UCF By 1-7 points

12.2%

UCF By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
71
QUINNIPIAC
62
UCF
Simulated Score
68
QUINNIPIAC
75
UCF
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bobcats Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bobcats (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 25, 2025 QUIN @ UCF 91 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +42.8% more
Quinnipiac: 9.0 vs UCF: 5.1
Blocks (L5) +34.4% more
Quinnipiac: 3.8 vs UCF: 2.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.6%
Quinnipiac: 42.4% vs UCF: 39.9%
Free Throw % (L5) +8.2%
UCF: 71.4% vs Quinnipiac: 63.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
QUIN Score 71.0 91
UCF Score 62.0 102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.9 / 42.4 42.0 / 46.0
Assists 17.6 / 17.1 18.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.8 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 48.6 53.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 63.2 74.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 38.4 / 37.1 43.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.1 / 9.0 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 11.8 10.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
21%MONEY79%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
QUIN
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
UCF Advantage
21-12-0 (63.6%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
QUIN
13-17-1 (43.3%)
Margin: 3.4 ATS +/-: -1.5
UCF Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: 2.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
QUIN
12-19-0
O: 38.7% / U: 61.3% Total +/-: -0.9
UCF
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCF
QUIN
UCF
QUIN
ML
55% 18-15
66% 21-11
65% 20-11
53% 17-15
ATS
55% 18-15
59% 19-13
65% 20-11
53% 17-15
TTL
61% 20-13
62% 20-12
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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