Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Temple @ North Texas TEM @ UNT

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

5-6  |  Road

25
FINAL
Fri, Nov 28 • 3:30 PM ET
DATCU Stadium
View Odds Details →

NORTH TEXAS

NORTH TEXASUNT

10-1  |  Home

52
Key Game
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
@
Terrell Washington
KEY GAME

Terrell Washington

#93 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Dante Atton None-None
Terrell Washington None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TEMPLE
100%
📊
NORTH TEXAS
0%
TEMPLE --
NORTH TEXAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
NORTH TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (North Texas)
TempleTEM (-3.5) 0 North TexasUNT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Temple Cover

4.3%

North Texas Cover

95.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UNT -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNT)

TEM By 1-6 points

2.5%

TEM By 7-13 points

1.1%

UNT By 1-6 points

5.9%

UNT By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
14
TEMPLE
38
NORTH TEXAS
Simulated Score
24
TEMPLE
31
NORTH TEXAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI North Texas Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim North Texas Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI North Texas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Sim North Texas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 28, 2025 TEM @ UNT 25 - 52
Nov 30, 2024 UNT @ TEM 24 - 17
Oct 14, 2023 TEM @ UNT 14 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +99.0% more
North Texas: 184.8 vs Temple: 92.9
Total Yards (L5) +98.3% more
North Texas: 559.7 vs Temple: 282.3
First Downs (L5) +57.5% more
North Texas: 25.0 vs Temple: 15.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
North Texas: 0.4 vs Temple: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEM Score 14.0 25
UNT Score 38.0 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.0 / 15.9 26.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 184.8 / 92.9 239.0 / 172.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.67 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 559.7 / 282.3 605.0 / 316.0
Turnovers 0.5 / 0.6 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
20%MONEY80%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
UNT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 7.6 ATS +/-: +8.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
UNT
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 7.6 ATS +/-: +8.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
UNT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +14.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNT
TEM
UNT
TEM
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
American Conference Week 6: A 100-Pound Rib Trophy, a Walk-On's …
yahoo 1 hour, 26 minutes ago
Wisconsin Badgers Rank Third in National TV Viewership Through E…
si 7 hours, 22 minutes ago
Rodriguez: Roster Turnover Slowing WVU's Progress
theintermountain 19 hours, 46 minutes ago
Week 6 College Football: Five Must-Watch Matchups Set to Shake U…
yahoo 1 day, 1 hour ago
Florida Gators Seek Redemption After Blowout Loss, Turn Focus to…
yourvalley_net 1 day, 13 hours ago