STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
4-2 | Road
58
PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
4-2 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
100%
TIGERS
0%
SEAWOLVES
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
117.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PAC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
STBK By 1-7 points
21.6%
STBK By 8-14 points
10.7%
PAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
PAC By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Stony Brook
57
STONY BROOK
Pacific
60
PACIFIC
Simulated Score
Stony Brook
70
STONY BROOK
Pacific
74
PACIFIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 117.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 24, 2025
STBK @ PAC
58 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+46.7% more
Pacific: 14.9
vs
Stony Brook: 10.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Pacific: 75.4%
vs
Stony Brook: 71.1%
Blocks (L5)
+39.1% more
Stony Brook: 3.6
vs
Pacific: 2.2
Steals (L5)
+28.9% more
Stony Brook: 8.2
vs
Pacific: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STBK Score
57.0
58
PAC Score
60.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.5 / 40.4
62.0 / 28.0
Assists
11.5 / 14.9
9.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.6
2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 48.4
67.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 71.1
83.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 33.9
34.0 / 21.0
Steals
5.8 / 8.2
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 10.2
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
PAC
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PAC
STBK
PAC
STBK
ML
45%
15-18
61%
19-12
80%
24-6
71%
22-9
ATS
55%
18-15
61%
19-12
80%
24-6
71%
22-9
TTL
58%
19-14
65%
20-11
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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