Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Knights @ Bulldogs BELL @ CIT

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

1-4  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Nov 24 • 7:00 PM ET
McAlister Field House
View Odds Details →

THE CITADEL

BULLDOGSCIT

2-3  |  Home

58
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
KNIGHTS --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
THE CITADEL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (The Citadel)
KnightsBELL (-3.5) 0 BulldogsCIT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knights Cover

18.4%

Bulldogs Cover

81.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CIT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIT)

BELL By 1-7 points

12.2%

BELL By 8-14 points

4.0%

CIT By 1-7 points

24.3%

CIT By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
BELLARMINE
83
THE CITADEL
Simulated Score
71
BELLARMINE
68
THE CITADEL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Knights (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 24, 2025 BELL @ CIT 70 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +104.7% more
The Citadel: 2.2 vs Bellarmine: 1.1
Rebounding (L5) +28.1% more
The Citadel: 32.6 vs Bellarmine: 25.5
Assists (L5) +19.4% more
The Citadel: 13.6 vs Bellarmine: 11.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
The Citadel: 34.9% vs Bellarmine: 31.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BELL Score 74.0 70
CIT Score 83.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.9 / 31.8 13.0 / 50.0
Assists 13.6 / 11.4 5.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.2 / 1.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 51.3 37.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 78.3 69.0 / 56.0
Rebounding 32.6 / 25.5 44.0 / 24.0
Steals 5.1 / 8.3 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 8.8 / 11.2 12.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL Advantage
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
CIT
11-22-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
CIT
15-15-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
CIT
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIT
BELL
CIT
BELL
ML
59% 19-13
72% 23-9
62% 20-12
94% 29-2
ATS
62% 20-12
72% 23-9
64% 21-12
94% 29-2
TTL
53% 17-15
50% 16-16
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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