Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Tigers WIN @ JKST

WINTHROP

EAGLESWIN

2-3  |  Road

80
FINAL
Sun, Nov 23 • 8:00 PM ET
Lee E. Williams Athletics and Assembly Center
View Odds Details →

JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-5  |  Home

62
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
EAGLES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
WINTHROP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Winthrop)
EaglesWIN (-3.5) 0 TigersJKST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

78.8%

Tigers Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WIN -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WIN)

WIN By 1-7 points

25.3%

WIN By 8-14 points

26.2%

JKST By 1-7 points

13.7%

JKST By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
68
WINTHROP
60
JACKSON STATE
Simulated Score
69
WINTHROP
73
JACKSON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Eagles (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 23, 2025 WIN @ JKST 80 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +20.9% more
Winthrop: 13.9 vs Jackson State: 11.0
Rebounding (L5) +11.9% more
Winthrop: 34.3 vs Jackson State: 30.3
Steals (L5) +11.8% more
Winthrop: 6.1 vs Jackson State: 5.4
Field Goal % (L5) +9.5%
Winthrop: 46.0% vs Jackson State: 36.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WIN Score 68.0 80
JKST Score 60.0 62
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 40.7 33.0 / 37.0
Assists 11.0 / 13.9 10.0 / 20.0
Blocks 2.4 / 2.3 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 36.5 / 46.0 43.0 / 48.0
Free Throw % 72.1 / 68.1 63.0 / 90.0
Rebounding 30.3 / 34.3 30.0 / 36.0
Steals 5.4 / 6.1 5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 17.2 / 9.9 13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WIN Advantage
23-11-0 (67.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WIN
12-19-0 (38.7%)
Margin: 8.2 ATS +/-: -1.0
JKST Advantage
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
⚖️ Over/Under
WIN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.3
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
JKST
WIN
JKST
WIN
ML
77% 24-7
70% 23-10
73% 19-7
79% 26-7
ATS
77% 24-7
79% 26-7
73% 19-7
79% 26-7
TTL
58% 18-13
58% 19-14
100% 26-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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