Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / E Illinois @ Alabama EIU @ ALA

EASTERN ILLINOIS

E ILLINOISEIU

3-8  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 2:00 PM ET
Bryant-Denny Stadium
View Odds Details →

ALABAMA

ALABAMAALA

8-2  |  Home

56
Key Game
Max Loveall
KEY GAME

Max Loveall

#81 | Tight End
@
Tucker Cornelius
KEY GAME

Tucker Cornelius

#98 | Place kicker
Player
Max Loveall None-None
Tucker Cornelius None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
E ILLINOIS
100%
📊
ALABAMA
0%
E ILLINOIS --
ALABAMA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
ALABAMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Alabama)
E IllinoisEIU (-3.5) 0 AlabamaALA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

E Illinois Cover

1.3%

Alabama Cover

98.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ALA -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALA)

EIU By 1-6 points

0.9%

EIU By 7-13 points

0.3%

ALA By 1-6 points

2.5%

ALA By 7-13 points

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
7
EASTERN ILLINOIS
38
ALABAMA
Simulated Score
3
EASTERN ILLINOIS
63
ALABAMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Alabama Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Alabama Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Alabama (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
C
Sim Alabama (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -60.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 66.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 EIU @ ALA 0 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +54.2% more
Alabama: 376.7 vs Eastern Illinois: 244.2
First Downs (L5) +46.0% more
Alabama: 20.8 vs Eastern Illinois: 14.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.4% more
Alabama: 87.0 vs Eastern Illinois: 65.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +13.0% more
Alabama: 0.4 vs Eastern Illinois: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EIU Score 7.0 0
ALA Score 38.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.8 / 14.3 32.0 / 2.0
Rushing Yards 87.0 / 65.7 269.0 / 14.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.73 / 0.09
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.64 / 0.36
Total Yards 376.7 / 244.2 539.0 / 34.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 2.0 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
--
ALA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 28.8 ATS +/-: +14.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
--
ALA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 28.8 ATS +/-: +14.1
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
--
ALA
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +16.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALA
EIU
ALA
EIU
ML
100% 5-0
50% 1-1
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
ATS
60% 3-2
0% 0-2
20% 1-4
0% 0-2
TTL
60% 3-2
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
UTSA Silences Doubters with 31-24 Win Over USF After Hartline's …
yahoo 0 minutes ago
South Alabama Outlasts Arkansas State 56-49 in Season's Highest-…
hjnews 0 minutes ago
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Live Stream, TV Channel, and G…
yahoo 3 hours, 51 minutes ago
Bryce Young Returns to Tuscaloosa as ESPN College GameDay Guest …
yahoo 9 hours, 40 minutes ago
Five Burning College Football Questions Set to Be Answered This …
foxnews 9 hours, 44 minutes ago