CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
BUCCANEERSCHSO
3-3 | Road
77
EAST CAROLINA
PIRATESECU
2-2 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
0%
PIRATES
100%
BUCCANEERS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHSO -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
CHSO By 1-7 points
0.3%
CHSO By 8-14 points
1.7%
ECU By 1-7 points
0.0%
ECU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
114
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
East Carolina
79
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
65
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
East Carolina
78
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
CHSO @ ECU
77 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+36.0% more
Charleston Southern: 17.6
vs
East Carolina: 11.2
Blocks (L5)
+23.4% more
Charleston Southern: 3.0
vs
East Carolina: 2.3
Rebounding (L5)
+16.8% more
Charleston Southern: 44.0
vs
East Carolina: 36.6
Turnovers (L5)
+16.3% more
Charleston Southern: 15.4
vs
East Carolina: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
114.0
77
ECU Score
79.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
24.0 / 36.2
18.0 / 44.0
Assists
11.2 / 17.6
9.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.3 / 3.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 46.4
42.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 63.8
54.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
36.6 / 44.0
38.0 / 31.0
Steals
5.7 / 4.2
4.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 15.4
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
ECU
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
Advantage
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
ECU
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.9
ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
ECU
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
CHSO
ECU
CHSO
ML
55%
17-14
43%
13-17
55%
17-14
67%
20-10
ATS
52%
16-15
50%
15-15
55%
17-14
68%
21-10
TTL
61%
19-12
50%
15-15
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
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