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JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-5  |  Road

61
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Bud Walton Arena
View Odds Details →

ARKANSAS

RAZORBACKSARK

5-1  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
RAZORBACKS
0%
TIGERS --
RAZORBACKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.0
ARKANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.0 points (Arkansas)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 RazorbacksARK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

0.3%

Razorbacks Cover

99.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARK -28.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARK)

JKST By 1-7 points

0.2%

JKST By 8-14 points

0.0%

ARK By 1-7 points

1.7%

ARK By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
68
JACKSON STATE
96
ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
60
JACKSON STATE
85
ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Razorbacks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Razorbacks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Razorbacks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
D
Sim Razorbacks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 JKST @ ARK 61 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +106.9% more
Arkansas: 5.4 vs Jackson State: 2.6
Assists (L5) +61.1% more
Arkansas: 14.4 vs Jackson State: 8.9
Rebounding (L5) +19.4% more
Arkansas: 38.1 vs Jackson State: 31.9
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
Arkansas: 82.1% vs Jackson State: 71.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 68.0 61
ARK Score 96.0 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 32.1 50.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.4 / 8.9 24.0 / 15.0
Blocks 5.4 / 2.6 7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 46.9 / 37.7 64.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 82.1 / 71.6 78.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 31.9 38.0 / 27.0
Steals 6.1 / 7.1 14.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 9.6 / 15.9 6.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
99%MONEY1%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
ARK Advantage
28-9-0 (75.7%)
Margin: 9.2 ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
ARK Advantage
23-14-0 (62.2%)
Margin: 9.2 ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
ARK
22-15-0
O: 59.5% / U: 40.5% Total +/-: +8.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARK
JKST
ARK
JKST
ML
68% 25-12
77% 24-7
81% 25-6
73% 19-7
ATS
70% 26-11
77% 24-7
81% 25-6
73% 19-7
TTL
57% 21-16
58% 18-13
100% 31-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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