Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Blue Hose @ Bruins PRES @ UCLA

PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

3-5  |  Road

46
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 10:30 PM ET
Pauley Pavilion
View Odds Details →

UCLA

BRUINSUCLA

5-1  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
📊
BRUINS
0%
BLUE HOSE --
BRUINS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
UCLA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (UCLA)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 BruinsUCLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

6.7%

Bruins Cover

93.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCLA -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCLA)

PRES By 1-7 points

4.8%

PRES By 8-14 points

1.1%

UCLA By 1-7 points

15.3%

UCLA By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
52
PRESBYTERIAN
67
UCLA
Simulated Score
58
PRESBYTERIAN
85
UCLA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bruins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bruins Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bruins (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Bruins (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u131.5 Loss
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u131.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 PRES @ UCLA 46 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +31.8% more
UCLA: 17.6 vs Presbyterian: 13.4
Steals (L5) +25.5% more
UCLA: 7.2 vs Presbyterian: 5.8
Blocks (L5) +13.0% more
UCLA: 3.4 vs Presbyterian: 3.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.4%
UCLA: 37.0% vs Presbyterian: 25.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 52.0 46
UCLA Score 67.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 25.6 50.0 / 10.0
Assists 17.6 / 13.4 17.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.0 1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 41.2 63.0 / 33.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 66.0 67.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 34.4 33.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.2 / 5.8 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 11.7 11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
3%MONEY97%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
17%TICKETS83%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
UCLA Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
UCLA
17-18-1 (48.6%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
UCLA
17-19-0
O: 47.2% / U: 52.8% Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCLA
PRES
UCLA
PRES
ML
67% 24-12
69% 22-10
76% 25-8
80% 24-6
ATS
61% 22-14
59% 19-13
76% 25-8
80% 24-6
TTL
61% 22-14
59% 19-13
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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