AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
0%
HAWKS
--
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
CANISIUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Canisius)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CAN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAN)
UMES By 1-7 points
4.8%
UMES By 8-14 points
1.1%
CAN By 1-7 points
15.3%
CAN By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
57
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Canisius
72
CANISIUS
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
65
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Canisius
72
CANISIUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Griffins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Griffins
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Griffins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Golden Griffins (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 21, 2025
UMES @ CAN
57 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+33.3% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 7.1
vs
Canisius: 4.7
Assists (L5)
+25.5% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 13.6
vs
Canisius: 10.1
Turnovers (L5)
+21.7% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 20.1
vs
Canisius: 15.7
Blocks (L5)
+16.3% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 2.5
vs
Canisius: 2.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
57.0
57
CAN Score
72.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.2 / 31.2
48.0 / 33.0
Assists
10.1 / 13.6
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.1 / 2.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
40.9 / 43.8
43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
65.5 / 64.0
70.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
31.2 / 34.6
31.0 / 32.0
Steals
4.7 / 7.1
1.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 20.1
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
CAN
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
CAN
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAN
UMES
CAN
UMES
ML
55%
17-14
66%
21-11
68%
21-10
81%
21-5
ATS
65%
20-11
69%
22-10
68%
21-10
81%
21-5
TTL
58%
18-13
66%
21-11
100%
31-0
100%
26-0