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CAMPBELL

FIGHTING CAMELSCAM

3-3  |  Road

71
FINAL
Fri, Nov 21 • 3:00 PM ET
Dee Events Center
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UT ARLINGTON

MAVERICKSUTA

4-2  |  Home

67
AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
📊
MAVERICKS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS --
MAVERICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UT ARLINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (UT Arlington)
Fighting CamelsCAM (-3.5) 0 MavericksUTA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fighting Camels Cover

38.2%

Mavericks Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTA -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)

CAM By 1-7 points

21.6%

CAM By 8-14 points

10.7%

UTA By 1-7 points

27.2%

UTA By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
76
CAMPBELL
79
UT ARLINGTON
Simulated Score
71
CAMPBELL
76
UT ARLINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mavericks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mavericks Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mavericks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Mavericks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o151.5 Loss
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 21, 2025 CAM @ UTA 71 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +46.9% more
UT Arlington: 18.0 vs Campbell: 12.3
Turnovers (L5) +24.5% more
UT Arlington: 17.1 vs Campbell: 13.7
Blocks (L5) +23.6% more
UT Arlington: 4.1 vs Campbell: 3.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.2%
UT Arlington: 38.1% vs Campbell: 26.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 76.0 71
UTA Score 79.0 67
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.1 / 26.8 31.0 / 27.0
Assists 18.0 / 12.3 13.0 / 9.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.3 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 51.4 / 45.7 41.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 62.6 / 80.3 65.0 / 59.0
Rebounding 42.0 / 38.3 33.0 / 39.0
Steals 8.4 / 8.0 10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 17.1 / 13.7 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
20%TICKETS80%
27%MONEY73%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0 (47.1%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UTA Advantage
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
18-14-0 (56.3%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: +0.4
UTA Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 3.3 ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +2.5
UTA
7-23-0
O: 23.3% / U: 76.7% Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
CAM
UTA
CAM
ML
50% 16-16
65% 22-12
62% 20-12
71% 24-10
ATS
59% 19-13
67% 22-11-1
62% 20-12
71% 24-10
TTL
53% 17-15
53% 18-16
100% 32-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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