AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
MAGIC
0%
CLIPPERS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
261.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
LAC By 1-7 points
9.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
2.7%
ORL By 1-7 points
21.6%
ORL By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
125
LA
Orlando
136
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
LA
105
LA
Orlando
110
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Magic
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Magic (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.0
Win
Proj Total: 261.0
D
Sim
u219.0
Win
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
ORL @ LAC
111 - 109
Nov 20, 2025
LAC @ ORL
101 - 129
Mar 31, 2025
LAC @ ORL
96 - 87
Nov 20, 2024
ORL @ LAC
93 - 104
Mar 29, 2024
LAC @ ORL
100 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.8% more
Orlando: 9.9
vs
LA: 7.0
Assists (L5)
+15.0% more
Orlando: 24.5
vs
LA: 21.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Orlando: 47.1%
vs
LA: 44.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
LA: 34.7%
vs
Orlando: 30.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
125.0
101
ORL Score
136.0
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.9 / 34.7
53.0 / 39.0
Assists
24.5 / 21.3
32.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.2 / 5.2
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 44.8
48.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
83.8 / 87.1
88.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
42.6 / 41.9
51.0 / 43.0
Steals
9.9 / 7.0
12.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 13.8
11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
LAC
ORL
LAC
ML
61%
65-42
60%
59-40
56%
51-40
55%
45-37
ATS
64%
68-38-1
66%
65-33-1
56%
51-40
55%
45-37
TTL
57%
61-46
59%
58-40-1
100%
91-0
100%
82-0