Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Owls PAC @ FAU

PACIFIC

TIGERSPAC

3-1  |  Road

59
FINAL
Thu, Nov 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

OWLSFAU

3-1  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
OWLS
100%
TIGERS --
OWLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.0 points (Pacific)
TigersPAC (-3.5) 0 OwlsFAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

98.9%

Owls Cover

1.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PAC -23.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)

PAC By 1-7 points

4.8%

PAC By 8-14 points

13.7%

FAU By 1-7 points

0.8%

FAU By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
82
PACIFIC
59
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Simulated Score
62
PACIFIC
78
FLORIDA ATLANTIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Owls Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Sim Owls (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 20, 2025 PAC @ FAU 59 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +32.0% more
Pacific: 14.9 vs Florida Atlantic: 10.1
Free Throw % (L5) +5.3%
Pacific: 75.5% vs Florida Atlantic: 70.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.9%
Pacific: 35.3% vs Florida Atlantic: 30.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
Pacific: 48.4% vs Florida Atlantic: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PAC Score 82.0 59
FAU Score 59.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.4 / 35.3 42.0 / 18.0
Assists 13.7 / 13.2 15.0 / 8.0
Blocks 6.1 / 2.8 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 48.4 56.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 70.2 / 75.5 81.0 / 75.0
Rebounding 42.2 / 40.2 28.0 / 29.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.2 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.1 / 14.9 13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +2.0
FAU
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
16-14-1 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +2.0
FAU Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 4.3 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5% Total +/-: -2.0
FAU
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAU
PAC
FAU
PAC
ML
64% 21-12
45% 15-18
66% 21-11
80% 24-6
ATS
70% 23-10
55% 18-15
66% 21-11
80% 24-6
TTL
58% 19-14
58% 19-14
100% 32-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
saturdaydownsouth 6 hours, 2 minutes ago
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
si 1 day ago
Tyrese Haliburton Set to Make Emotional Return to Iowa State as …
kcci 1 day, 5 hours ago
Miami's Bye Week Blueprint: Top Games to Scout for Week 6
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 4 days, 23 hours ago