Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Golden Griffins @ Panthers CAN @ HPU

CANISIUS

GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN

2-2  |  Road

50
FINAL
Mon, Nov 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Qubein Center
View Odds Details →

HIGH POINT

PANTHERSHPU

3-1  |  Home

93
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (High Point)
Golden GriffinsCAN (-3.5) 0 PanthersHPU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Griffins Cover

5.5%

Panthers Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HPU -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)

CAN By 1-7 points

4.0%

CAN By 8-14 points

0.8%

HPU By 1-7 points

13.7%

HPU By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
63
CANISIUS
79
HIGH POINT
Simulated Score
71
CANISIUS
78
HIGH POINT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+23.5) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim u151.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 17, 2025 CAN @ HPU 50 - 93
Dec 22, 2023 CAN @ HPU 70 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +110.0% more
High Point: 10.7 vs Canisius: 5.1
Blocks (L5) +67.4% more
High Point: 3.6 vs Canisius: 2.2
Assists (L5) +56.6% more
High Point: 16.7 vs Canisius: 10.7
Rebounding (L5) +21.2% more
High Point: 35.6 vs Canisius: 29.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAN Score 63.0 50
HPU Score 79.0 93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 31.7 41.0 / 24.0
Assists 16.7 / 10.7 21.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.6 / 2.2 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 45.9 58.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 66.2 80.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 35.6 / 29.4 30.0 / 35.0
Steals 10.7 / 5.1 15.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 13.1 6.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
34%MONEY66%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
HPU Advantage
31-5-0 (86.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: -7.5 ATS +/-: -0.5
HPU Advantage
17-15-1 (53.1%)
Margin: 18.5 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4% Total +/-: -3.6
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HPU
CAN
HPU
CAN
ML
80% 28-7
55% 17-14
80% 28-7
68% 21-10
ATS
71% 25-10
65% 20-11
80% 28-7
68% 21-10
TTL
66% 23-12
58% 18-13
100% 35-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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