Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Charlotte @ Georgia CLT @ UGA

CHARLOTTE

CHARLOTTECLT

1-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 12:45 PM ET
Sanford Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

GEORGIAUGA

9-1  |  Home

35
Key Game
Bronson Long
KEY GAME

Bronson Long

#95 | Punter
@
Daniel Okonkwo
KEY GAME

Daniel Okonkwo

#36 | Safety
Player
Bronson Long None-None
Daniel Okonkwo None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLOTTE
100%
📊
GEORGIA
0%
CHARLOTTE --
GEORGIA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Georgia)
CharlotteCLT (-3.5) 0 GeorgiaUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Charlotte Cover

1.3%

Georgia Cover

98.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UGA -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

CLT By 1-6 points

0.9%

CLT By 7-13 points

0.3%

UGA By 1-6 points

2.5%

UGA By 7-13 points

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
7
CHARLOTTE
38
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
7
CHARLOTTE
55
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Georgia Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Georgia Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Georgia (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
C
Sim Georgia (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -48.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 CLT @ UGA 3 - 35
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +128.7% more
Georgia: 182.3 vs Charlotte: 79.7
First Downs (L5) +68.7% more
Georgia: 24.5 vs Charlotte: 14.5
Total Yards (L5) +46.7% more
Georgia: 423.1 vs Charlotte: 288.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +11.0% more
Georgia: 0.5 vs Charlotte: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 7.0 3
UGA Score 38.0 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.5 / 14.5 30.0 / 7.0
Rushing Yards 182.3 / 79.7 192.0 / 39.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.09
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 423.1 / 288.3 449.0 / 169.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.5 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
0-5-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
UGA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -23.4 ATS +/-: -9.7
UGA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +5.3
UGA
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +12.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
CLT
UGA
CLT
ML
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
20% 1-4
80% 4-1
TTL
75% 3-1
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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