Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Syracuse @ Notre Dame SYR @ ND

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

3-7  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 3:30 PM ET
Notre Dame Stadium
View Odds Details →

NOTRE DAME

NOTRE DAMEND

8-2  |  Home

70
Key Game
Cornell Perry
KEY GAME

Cornell Perry

#19 | Defensive Back
@
Erik Schmidt
KEY GAME

Erik Schmidt

#18 | Punter
Player
Cornell Perry None-None
Erik Schmidt None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SYRACUSE
100%
📊
NOTRE DAME
0%
SYRACUSE --
NOTRE DAME --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-42.0
NOTRE DAME
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +42.0 points (Notre Dame)
SyracuseSYR (-3.5) 0 Notre DameND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Syracuse Cover

0.1%

Notre Dame Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ND -42.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ND)

SYR By 1-6 points

0.1%

SYR By 7-13 points

0.0%

ND By 1-6 points

0.4%

ND By 7-13 points

1.5%

AI Model Projected Score
0
SYRACUSE
42
NOTRE DAME
Simulated Score
20
SYRACUSE
31
NOTRE DAME
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Notre Dame Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Notre Dame Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Notre Dame (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -42.0
C
Sim Notre Dame (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 42.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 SYR @ ND 7 - 70
Oct 29, 2022 ND @ SYR 41 - 24
Dec 5, 2020 SYR @ ND 21 - 45
Nov 17, 2018 SYR @ ND 3 - 36
Oct 1, 2016 ND @ SYR 50 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +54.1% more
Notre Dame: 444.7 vs Syracuse: 288.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +53.0% more
Notre Dame: 201.6 vs Syracuse: 131.8
First Downs (L5) +25.8% more
Notre Dame: 22.0 vs Syracuse: 17.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
Notre Dame: 0.4 vs Syracuse: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SYR Score 0.0 7
ND Score 42.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.0 / 17.5 17.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 201.6 / 131.8 329.0 / 112.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.57 / 0.39
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.3 / 0.7
Total Yards 444.7 / 288.6 396.0 / 207.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 2.1 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
85%MONEY15%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SYR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
ND Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SYR
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
ND Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 29.4 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
ND
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ND
SYR
ND
SYR
ML
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
100% 5-0
75% 3-1
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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