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COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

6-4  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Nov 22 • 4:15 PM ET
Williams-Brice Stadium
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

3-7  |  Home

51
Key Game
Kadon Crawford
KEY GAME

Kadon Crawford

#45 | Defensive Back
@
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
Player
Kadon Crawford None-None
Mason Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
COASTAL
100%
📊
SOUTH CAROLINA
0%
COASTAL --
SOUTH CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-41.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +41.0 points (South Carolina)
CoastalCCU (-3.5) 0 South CarolinaSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Coastal Cover

0.2%

South Carolina Cover

99.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SC -41.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

CCU By 1-6 points

0.1%

CCU By 7-13 points

0.0%

SC By 1-6 points

0.5%

SC By 7-13 points

1.8%

AI Model Projected Score
0
COASTAL CAROLINA
41
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
17
COASTAL CAROLINA
31
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI South Carolina Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim South Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI South Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -41.0
C
Sim South Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 22, 2025 CCU @ SC 7 - 51
Sep 1, 2018 CCU @ SC 15 - 49
Nov 23, 2013 CCU @ SC 10 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +61.7% more
South Carolina: 1.7 vs Coastal Carolina: 1.1
Rushing Yards (L5) +56.4% more
Coastal Carolina: 231.8 vs South Carolina: 101.1
Total Yards (L5) +24.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 420.2 vs South Carolina: 316.5
First Downs (L5) +19.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 20.0 vs South Carolina: 16.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CCU Score 0.0 7
SC Score 41.0 51
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 16.2 / 20.0 25.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 101.1 / 231.8 264.0 / 46.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.55 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 316.5 / 420.2 579.0 / 220.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.1 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
48%MONEY52%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
SC Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CCU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
SC
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
CCU
SC
CCU
ML
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
TTL
20% 1-4
25% 1-3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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