Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Lions @ Tigers UNA @ CLEM

NORTH ALABAMA

LIONSUNA

2-3  |  Road

61
FINAL
Mon, Nov 17 • 9:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

4-1  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
LIONS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Clemson)
LionsUNA (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lions Cover

38.2%

Tigers Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

UNA By 1-7 points

21.6%

UNA By 8-14 points

10.7%

CLEM By 1-7 points

27.2%

CLEM By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
66
NORTH ALABAMA
69
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
62
NORTH ALABAMA
78
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 17, 2025 UNA @ CLEM 61 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +38.1% more
Clemson: 15.9 vs North Alabama: 11.5
Turnovers (L5) +35.7% more
North Alabama: 12.1 vs Clemson: 7.8
Blocks (L5) +35.6% more
North Alabama: 4.2 vs Clemson: 2.7
Steals (L5) +13.0% more
North Alabama: 6.5 vs Clemson: 5.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNA Score 66.0 61
CLEM Score 69.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 35.5 31.0 / 25.0
Assists 15.9 / 11.5 18.0 / 11.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.2 6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.3 / 44.2 44.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 71.7 80.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 39.4 / 38.7 45.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.7 / 6.5 5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 7.8 / 12.1 12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNA
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNA
10-17-1 (37.0%)
Margin: -8.2 ATS +/-: -4.3
CLEM Advantage
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UNA
12-16-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1% Total +/-: -0.4
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
UNA
CLEM
UNA
ML
63% 22-13
43% 13-17
72% 23-9
57% 16-12
ATS
71% 25-10
60% 18-12
72% 23-9
57% 16-12
TTL
69% 24-11
63% 19-11
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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