LA
CLIPPERSLAC
4-8 | Road
118
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
6-7 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
CELTICS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
186.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
LAC By 1-7 points
4.0%
LAC By 8-14 points
0.8%
BOS By 1-7 points
13.7%
BOS By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
85
LA
Boston
101
BOSTON
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Boston
115
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Celtics
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Celtics (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u220.0
Loss
Proj Total: 186.0
D
Sim
u220.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
BOS @ LAC
146 - 115
Nov 16, 2025
LAC @ BOS
118 - 121
Jan 22, 2025
BOS @ LAC
117 - 113
Nov 25, 2024
LAC @ BOS
94 - 126
Jan 27, 2024
LAC @ BOS
115 - 96
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+23.1% more
Boston: 47.3
vs
LA: 38.4
Assists (L5)
+14.4% more
Boston: 26.2
vs
LA: 22.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Boston: 36.5%
vs
LA: 34.7%
Turnovers (L5)
+33.9% more
LA: 16.6
vs
Boston: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
85.0
118
BOS Score
101.0
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 34.7
41.0 / 40.0
Assists
26.2 / 22.9
26.0 / 23.0
Blocks
5.6 / 6.0
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 47.2
45.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
75.1 / 77.5
76.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
47.3 / 38.4
49.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.3 / 9.2
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 16.6
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
LAC
BOS
LAC
ML
57%
61-46
60%
59-40
53%
47-41
55%
45-37
ATS
59%
61-43-3
66%
65-33-1
53%
47-41
55%
45-37
TTL
56%
60-47
59%
58-40-1
100%
88-0
100%
82-0
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