HOUSTON
COUGARSHOU
3-0 | Road
73
AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
3-0 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
TIGERS
100%
COUGARS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HOU -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
HOU By 1-7 points
23.0%
HOU By 8-14 points
27.2%
AUB By 1-7 points
10.7%
AUB By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Houston
75
HOUSTON
Auburn
65
AUBURN
Simulated Score
Houston
70
HOUSTON
Auburn
75
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 16, 2025
HOU @ AUB
73 - 72
Nov 9, 2024
AUB @ HOU
74 - 69
Mar 18, 2023
AUB @ HOU
64 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
Houston: 70.9%
vs
Auburn: 68.9%
Blocks (L5)
+22.5% more
Auburn: 5.9
vs
Houston: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+15.2% more
Auburn: 10.3
vs
Houston: 9.0
Rebounding (L5)
+10.1% more
Auburn: 45.4
vs
Houston: 41.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HOU Score
75.0
73
AUB Score
65.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.3 / 30.6
32.0 / 29.0
Assists
14.7 / 14.8
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.8
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 42.2
38.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.9 / 70.9
64.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 41.3
38.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.9 / 8.9
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 9.0
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
AUB
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
Advantage
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
AUB
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
HOU
AUB
HOU
ML
58%
22-16
70%
26-11
75%
24-8
68%
23-11
ATS
74%
28-10
70%
26-11
75%
24-8
68%
23-11
TTL
53%
20-18
59%
22-15
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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