PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
2-1 | Road
85
CAL STATE FULLERTON
TITANSCSUF
1-2 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
TITANS
100%
TIGERS
--
TITANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
PACIFIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Pacific)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PAC -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PAC)
PAC By 1-7 points
16.9%
PAC By 8-14 points
26.2%
CSUF By 1-7 points
5.8%
CSUF By 8-14 points
1.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
83
PACIFIC
Cal State Fullerton
69
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Simulated Score
Pacific
69
PACIFIC
Cal State Fullerton
74
CAL STATE FULLERTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Titans
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Titans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
PAC @ CSUF
85 - 73
Nov 30, 2024
CSUF @ PAC
55 - 64
Dec 20, 2023
PAC @ CSUF
56 - 67
Nov 18, 2022
CSUF @ PAC
94 - 91
Dec 4, 2021
PAC @ CSUF
57 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.6% more
Pacific: 5.8
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 4.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.8%
Pacific: 72.3%
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 62.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Pacific: 29.4%
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 25.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.4%
Pacific: 44.6%
vs
Cal State Fullerton: 42.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
83.0
85
CSUF Score
69.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.6 / 29.4
24.0 / 47.0
Assists
14.7 / 13.8
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 44.6
34.0 / 56.0
Free Throw %
62.5 / 72.3
77.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 36.8
33.0 / 47.0
Steals
4.6 / 5.8
10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
14.7 / 12.8
7.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
CSUF
18-16-0
(52.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
CSUF
Advantage
19-11-2
(63.3%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-: +3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
CSUF
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CSUF
PAC
CSUF
PAC
ML
68%
23-11
45%
15-18
76%
26-8
80%
24-6
ATS
68%
23-11
55%
18-15
76%
26-8
80%
24-6
TTL
59%
20-14
58%
19-14
100%
34-0
100%
30-0
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