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OAKLAND

GOLDEN GRIZZLIESOAK

0-2  |  Road

45
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Fertitta Center
View Odds Details →

HOUSTON

COUGARSHOU

2-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
COUGARS
0%
GOLDEN GRIZZLIES --
COUGARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Houston)
Golden GrizzliesOAK (-3.5) 0 CougarsHOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Golden Grizzlies Cover

24.2%

Cougars Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)

OAK By 1-7 points

15.3%

OAK By 8-14 points

5.8%

HOU By 1-7 points

26.2%

HOU By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
66
OAKLAND
73
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
63
OAKLAND
78
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cougars Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Cougars (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 OAK @ HOU 45 - 78
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +95.3% more
Houston: 4.2 vs Oakland: 2.2
Steals (L5) +63.5% more
Houston: 8.8 vs Oakland: 5.4
Rebounding (L5) +16.9% more
Houston: 38.9 vs Oakland: 33.3
Assists (L5) +18.5% more
Oakland: 15.1 vs Houston: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OAK Score 66.0 45
HOU Score 73.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 36.2 29.0 / 23.0
Assists 12.3 / 15.1 20.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.2 / 2.2 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.8 / 45.4 45.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 74.8 / 78.6 63.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 33.3 46.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.8 / 5.4 9.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 10.4 / 10.8 6.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
29%TICKETS71%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OAK
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
HOU Advantage
30-7-0 (81.1%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OAK Advantage
17-14-0 (54.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -0.1
HOU
18-19-0 (48.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
OAK
19-12-0
O: 61.3% / U: 38.7% Total +/-: +4.0
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
OAK
HOU
OAK
ML
70% 26-11
62% 20-12
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
ATS
70% 26-11
50% 16-16
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
TTL
59% 22-15
62% 20-12
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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