DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
8-2 | Road
130
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-7 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
NUGGETS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
NUGGETS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
257.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
DEN By 1-7 points
9.3%
DEN By 8-14 points
2.7%
LAC By 1-7 points
21.6%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
123
DENVER
LA
134
LA
Simulated Score
Denver
110
DENVER
LA
115
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o224.0
Win
Proj Total: 257.0
D
Sim
u224.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 19, 2026
DEN @ LAC
114 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
LAC @ DEN
109 - 122
Nov 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
130 - 116
Oct 12, 2025
DEN @ LAC
102 - 94
May 3, 2025
LAC @ DEN
101 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+112.6% more
LA: 5.4
vs
Denver: 2.5
Rebounding (L5)
+21.2% more
Denver: 44.1
vs
LA: 34.7
Assists (L5)
+20.1% more
Denver: 26.3
vs
LA: 21.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.1%
Denver: 72.8%
vs
LA: 64.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
123.0
130
LAC Score
134.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 36.8
43.0 / 38.0
Assists
21.0 / 26.3
28.0 / 22.0
Blocks
5.4 / 2.5
7.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.4 / 50.6
49.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
64.7 / 72.8
95.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 44.1
36.0 / 42.0
Steals
6.7 / 6.8
4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.5 / 12.3
15.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
Advantage
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
DEN
LAC
DEN
ML
60%
59-40
54%
57-48
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
ATS
66%
65-33-1
63%
65-38-2
55%
45-37
55%
47-39
TTL
59%
58-40-1
54%
56-48-1
100%
82-0
100%
86-0
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