CHICAGO
BEARSCHI
6-3 | Road
19
MINNESOTA
VIKINGSMIN
4-5 | Home
17
Key Game
KEY GAME
Tory Taylor
#19 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Will Reichard
#16 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Tory Taylor | None-None |
| Will Reichard | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BEARS
0%
VIKINGS
100%
BEARS
--
VIKINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CHI -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1-6 points
15.3%
CHI By 7-13 points
19.7%
MIN By 1-6 points
10.7%
MIN By 7-13 points
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
27
CHICAGO
Minnesota
17
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Chicago
20
CHICAGO
Minnesota
24
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bears
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bears (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Vikings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u48.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
D
Sim
u48.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
MIN @ CHI
9 - 3
Nov 16, 2025
CHI @ MIN
19 - 17
Sep 8, 2025
MIN @ CHI
27 - 24
Dec 16, 2024
CHI @ MIN
12 - 30
Nov 24, 2024
MIN @ CHI
30 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+40.7% more
Chicago: 178.0
vs
Minnesota: 105.5
Total Yards (L5)
+26.6% more
Chicago: 417.4
vs
Minnesota: 306.5
First Downs (L5)
+20.9% more
Chicago: 23.0
vs
Minnesota: 18.2
Yards Per Play (L5)
+18.2% more
Chicago: 6.3
vs
Minnesota: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
27.0
19
MIN Score
17.0
17
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
18.2 / 23.0
15.0 / 19.0
Net Passing Yards
200.9 / 239.5
150.0 / 180.0
Rushing Yards
105.5 / 178.0
115.0 / 140.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.3 / 0.4
0.27 / 0.39
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards
306.5 / 417.4
265.0 / 320.0
Turnovers
1.9 / 0.4
2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play
5.1 / 6.3
4.9 / 4.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
MIN
Advantage
4-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 8.8
ATS +/-: +7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 11.8
ATS +/-: +9.9
MIN
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 8.8
ATS +/-: +7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -9.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
CHI
MIN
CHI
ML
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
100%
4-0
TTL
0%
0-4
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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