EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
7-6-4 | Road
2
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
8-5-2 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Walman
#96 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Walman | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 1.96 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
1.96
--
Save %
0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
0%
FLYERS
100%
OILERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
EDM By 1 goal
19.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
29.6%
PHI By 1 goal
12.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Oilers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 3, 2026
PHI @ EDM
5 - 2
Nov 12, 2025
EDM @ PHI
2 - 1
Feb 22, 2025
EDM @ PHI
3 - 6
Oct 15, 2024
PHI @ EDM
3 - 4
Jan 2, 2024
PHI @ EDM
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+31.1% more
Edmonton: 19.2
vs
Philadelphia: 13.2
Power Play % (L5)
+15.3%
Edmonton: 27.6%
vs
Philadelphia: 12.3%
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.8%
Edmonton: 52.7%
vs
Philadelphia: 44.9%
Hits (L5)
+28.2% more
Philadelphia: 23.6
vs
Edmonton: 18.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
2
PHI Score
2.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.2 / 19.2
13.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
44.9 / 52.7
32.7 / 67.3
Hits
23.6 / 18.4
21.0 / 10.0
Power Play %
12.3 / 27.6
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.5 / 25.7
21.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.0 / 5.1
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
EDM
PHI
EDM
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
40%
2-3
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
TTL
20%
1-4
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
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