Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Eagles @ Tigers MORE @ CLEM

MOREHEAD STATE

EAGLESMORE

1-2  |  Road

56
FINAL
Tue, Nov 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

2-0  |  Home

83
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
EAGLES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Clemson)
EaglesMORE (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

34.5%

Tigers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLEM -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

MORE By 1-7 points

20.1%

MORE By 8-14 points

9.3%

CLEM By 1-7 points

27.4%

CLEM By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
MOREHEAD STATE
66
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
62
MOREHEAD STATE
85
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 11, 2025 MORE @ CLEM 56 - 83
Mar 15, 2023 MORE @ CLEM 68 - 64
Dec 21, 2020 MORE @ CLEM 51 - 66
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.3% more
Clemson: 15.7 vs Morehead State: 12.7
Rebounding (L5) +16.3% more
Clemson: 41.7 vs Morehead State: 35.8
Field Goal % (L5) +3.7%
Clemson: 45.4% vs Morehead State: 41.7%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.8%
Clemson: 72.7% vs Morehead State: 69.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MORE Score 62.0 56
CLEM Score 66.0 83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.8 / 33.5 37.0 / 24.0
Assists 15.7 / 12.7 19.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.3 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 41.7 47.0 / 34.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 69.9 78.0 / 73.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 35.8 40.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.8 / 6.7 6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 7.5 / 14.0 5.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
43%MONEY57%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
74%MONEY26%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MORE
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MORE Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: +0.7
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MORE
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.5
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
MORE
CLEM
MORE
ML
63% 22-13
62% 20-12
72% 23-9
68% 21-10
ATS
71% 25-10
59% 19-13
72% 23-9
68% 21-10
TTL
69% 24-11
53% 17-15
100% 32-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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