Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / South Carolina @ Texas A&M SC @ TA&M

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

3-6  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 12:00 PM ET
Kyle Field
View Odds Details →

TEXAS A&M

TEXAS A&MTA&M

9-0  |  Home

31
Key Game
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
@
Marco Jones
KEY GAME

Marco Jones

#10 | Defensive End
Player
Mason Love None-None
Marco Jones None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SOUTH CAROLINA
100%
📊
TEXAS A&M
0%
SOUTH CAROLINA --
TEXAS A&M --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (Texas A&M)
South CarolinaSC (-3.5) 0 Texas A&MTA&M (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

South Carolina Cover

0.6%

Texas A&M Cover

99.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TA&M -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TA&M)

SC By 1-6 points

0.4%

SC By 7-13 points

0.1%

TA&M By 1-6 points

1.4%

TA&M By 7-13 points

4.1%

AI Model Projected Score
7
SOUTH CAROLINA
42
TEXAS A&M
Simulated Score
20
SOUTH CAROLINA
27
TEXAS A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Texas A&M Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Texas A&M Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Texas A&M (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Sim Texas A&M (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 SC @ TA&M 30 - 31
Nov 2, 2024 TA&M @ SC 20 - 44
Oct 28, 2023 SC @ TA&M 17 - 30
Oct 22, 2022 TA&M @ SC 24 - 30
Oct 23, 2021 SC @ TA&M 14 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +145.1% more
Texas A&M: 223.5 vs South Carolina: 91.2
Total Yards (L5) +61.9% more
Texas A&M: 454.6 vs South Carolina: 280.8
First Downs (L5) +37.0% more
Texas A&M: 23.0 vs South Carolina: 16.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +21.0% more
Texas A&M: 0.5 vs South Carolina: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 7.0 30
TA&M Score 42.0 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.0 / 16.8 23.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards 223.5 / 91.2 64.0 / 121.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.18 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 454.6 / 280.8 503.0 / 388.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 2.1 4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
TA&M Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
TA&M Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 13.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
TA&M
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TA&M
SC
TA&M
SC
ML
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
TTL
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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