Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Clemson @ Louisville CLEM @ LOU

CLEMSON

CLEMSONCLEM

4-5  |  Road

20
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 7:30 PM ET
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOUISVILLE

LOUISVILLELOU

7-2  |  Home

19
Key Game
Nolan Hauser
KEY GAME

Nolan Hauser

#81 | Place kicker
@
Nick Keller
KEY GAME

Nick Keller

#98 | Place kicker
Player
Nolan Hauser None-None
Nick Keller None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CLEMSON
0%
📊
LOUISVILLE
100%
CLEMSON --
LOUISVILLE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
CLEMSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Clemson)
ClemsonCLEM (-3.5) 0 LouisvilleLOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clemson Cover

69.1%

Louisville Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around CLEM -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLEM)

CLEM By 1-6 points

16.5%

CLEM By 7-13 points

19.3%

LOU By 1-6 points

12.9%

LOU By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
31
CLEMSON
24
LOUISVILLE
Simulated Score
24
CLEMSON
27
LOUISVILLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Clemson Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Louisville Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Clemson (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim Louisville (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o51.5 Loss
Proj Total: 55.0
B
Sim u51.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 CLEM @ LOU 20 - 19
Nov 2, 2024 LOU @ CLEM 33 - 21
Nov 12, 2022 LOU @ CLEM 16 - 31
Nov 6, 2021 CLEM @ LOU 30 - 24
Oct 19, 2019 CLEM @ LOU 45 - 10
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +16.9% more
Clemson: 21.5 vs Louisville: 17.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +48.3% more
Louisville: 181.0 vs Clemson: 122.0
Turnovers (L5) +43.0% more
Louisville: 1.4 vs Clemson: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score 31.0 20
LOU Score 24.0 19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 21.5 16.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 181.0 / 122.0 171.0 / 121.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.18 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 389.1 / 418.3 385.0 / 308.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
44%MONEY56%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: -6.5
LOU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 9.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: -6.5
LOU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 9.4 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.3
LOU
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +11.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LOU
CLEM
LOU
CLEM
ML
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
TTL
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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