CANISIUS
GOLDEN GRIFFINSCAN
1-1 | Road
70
ST. BONAVENTURE
BONNIESSBU
1-0 | Home
89
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
100%
BONNIES
0%
GOLDEN GRIFFINS
--
BONNIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ST. BONAVENTURE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (St. Bonaventure)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SBU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SBU)
CAN By 1-7 points
24.3%
CAN By 8-14 points
13.7%
SBU By 1-7 points
26.2%
SBU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Canisius
66
CANISIUS
St. Bonaventure
67
ST. BONAVENTURE
Simulated Score
Canisius
68
CANISIUS
St. Bonaventure
72
ST. BONAVENTURE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bonnies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bonnies (+21.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bonnies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
CAN @ SBU
70 - 89
Nov 9, 2024
SBU @ CAN
87 - 78
Nov 11, 2023
CAN @ SBU
70 - 67
Nov 12, 2022
SBU @ CAN
80 - 84
Nov 14, 2021
CAN @ SBU
60 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+53.1% more
St. Bonaventure: 4.0
vs
Canisius: 2.6
Steals (L5)
+13.0% more
St. Bonaventure: 7.3
vs
Canisius: 6.4
Turnovers (L5)
+24.4% more
Canisius: 14.3
vs
St. Bonaventure: 10.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Canisius: 33.1%
vs
St. Bonaventure: 29.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAN Score
66.0
70
SBU Score
67.0
89
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.7 / 33.1
35.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.4 / 11.8
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.0 / 2.6
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.7 / 41.9
49.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
70.0 / 69.9
78.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 34.1
42.0 / 22.0
Steals
7.3 / 6.4
7.0 / 1.0
Turnovers
10.8 / 14.3
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAN
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
SBU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAN
Advantage
13-16-0
(44.8%)
Margin: -7.5
ATS +/-: -0.5
SBU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAN
8-21-0
O: 27.6% / U: 72.4%
Total +/-: -3.6
SBU
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SBU
CAN
SBU
CAN
ML
59%
20-14
55%
17-14
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
ATS
50%
17-17
65%
20-11
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
TTL
38%
13-21
58%
18-13
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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