PACIFIC
TIGERSPAC
1-0 | Road
77
NEVADA
WOLF PACKNEV
1-0 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
WOLF PACK
0%
TIGERS
--
WOLF PACK
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
NEVADA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Nevada)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NEV -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEV)
PAC By 1-7 points
9.3%
PAC By 8-14 points
2.7%
NEV By 1-7 points
21.6%
NEV By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Pacific
61
PACIFIC
Nevada
72
NEVADA
Simulated Score
Pacific
65
PACIFIC
Nevada
78
NEVADA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wolf Pack
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wolf Pack
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wolf Pack (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Wolf Pack (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 8, 2025
PAC @ NEV
77 - 78
Nov 15, 2023
PAC @ NEV
39 - 88
Nov 30, 2020
PAC @ NEV
58 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+22.7% more
Nevada: 4.3
vs
Pacific: 3.5
Rebounding (L5)
+8.0% more
Nevada: 37.1
vs
Pacific: 34.3
Turnovers (L5)
+33.4% more
Pacific: 12.8
vs
Nevada: 8.6
Steals (L5)
+18.9% more
Pacific: 6.4
vs
Nevada: 5.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PAC Score
61.0
77
NEV Score
72.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.3 / 32.4
27.0 / 45.0
Assists
13.5 / 13.5
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
4.3 / 3.5
8.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
43.1 / 46.9
43.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
75.7 / 74.4
62.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
37.1 / 34.3
49.0 / 34.0
Steals
5.2 / 6.4
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 12.8
9.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PAC
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
NEV
Advantage
24-13-0
(64.9%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PAC
16-14-1
(53.3%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +2.0
NEV
Advantage
22-15-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PAC
10-19-2
O: 34.5% / U: 65.5%
Total +/-: -2.0
NEV
21-16-0
O: 56.8% / U: 43.2%
Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEV
PAC
NEV
PAC
ML
62%
23-14
45%
15-18
73%
27-10
80%
24-6
ATS
73%
27-10
55%
18-15
73%
27-10
80%
24-6
TTL
49%
18-19
58%
19-14
100%
37-0
100%
30-0
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