AI Model Win Probability
FIGHTING CAMELS
100%
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
FIGHTING CAMELS
--
MOUNTAINEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
138.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (West Virginia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)
CAM By 1-7 points
23.0%
CAM By 8-14 points
12.2%
WVU By 1-7 points
26.8%
WVU By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Campbell
68
CAMPBELL
West Virginia
70
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
Campbell
62
CAMPBELL
West Virginia
78
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mountaineers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mountaineers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mountaineers (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Mountaineers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Sim
u138.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 6, 2025
CAM @ WVU
65 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+41.0% more
West Virginia: 9.0
vs
Campbell: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+22.5% more
West Virginia: 12.4
vs
Campbell: 10.1
Rebounding (L5)
+9.1% more
West Virginia: 32.2
vs
Campbell: 29.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
West Virginia: 31.0%
vs
Campbell: 27.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CAM Score
68.0
65
WVU Score
70.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.0 / 27.5
35.0 / 14.0
Assists
12.4 / 10.1
12.0 / 5.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.1
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.3 / 42.8
40.0 / 35.0
Free Throw %
65.9 / 75.6
74.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
32.2 / 29.5
36.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.4
2.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 13.3
11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
WVU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
WVU
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
17-14-1
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
CAM
WVU
CAM
ML
63%
22-13
65%
22-12
76%
26-8
71%
24-10
ATS
60%
21-14
67%
22-11-1
76%
26-8
71%
24-10
TTL
40%
14-21
53%
18-16
100%
34-0
100%
34-0