Home / NFL Projections NFL / Ravens @ Vikings BAL @ MIN

BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

3-5  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sun, Nov 9 • 1:00 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

4-4  |  Home

19
Key Game
Tyler Loop
KEY GAME

Tyler Loop

#33 | Place kicker
@
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
Player
Tyler Loop None-None
Will Reichard None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
RAVENS --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
RavensBAL (-3.5) 0 VikingsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ravens Cover

41.5%

Vikings Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

BAL By 1-6 points

15.3%

BAL By 7-13 points

12.9%

MIN By 1-6 points

17.0%

MIN By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
17
BALTIMORE
20
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
20
BALTIMORE
27
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (+4) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u49.0 Win
Proj Total: 37.0
D
Sim u49.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 9, 2025 BAL @ MIN 27 - 19
Nov 7, 2021 MIN @ BAL 31 - 34
Oct 22, 2017 BAL @ MIN 16 - 24
Dec 8, 2013 MIN @ BAL 26 - 29
Oct 18, 2009 BAL @ MIN 31 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +38.0% more
Minnesota: 1.4 vs Baltimore: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +34.2% more
Baltimore: 149.4 vs Minnesota: 98.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +17.7% more
Baltimore: 5.7 vs Minnesota: 4.7
Total Yards (L5) +14.9% more
Baltimore: 325.8 vs Minnesota: 277.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 17.0 27
MIN Score 20.0 19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.3 / 19.2 18.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards 178.9 / 176.4 245.0 / 169.0
Rushing Yards 98.3 / 149.4 120.0 / 152.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.21 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 277.2 / 325.8 365.0 / 321.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 1.0 3.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 4.7 / 5.7 6.0 / 4.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
80%MONEY20%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
BAL
MIN
BAL
ML
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2-1
100% 4-0
100% 3-0-1
TTL
0% 0-4
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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